Part 10 (1/2)

112. Derek J. Koehler, ”Explanation, Imagination, and Confidence in Judgment,” Psychological Bulletin, 1991; Steven J. Sherman, Robert B. Cialdini, Donna F. Schwartzman, and Kim D. Reynolds, ”Imagining Can Heighten or Lower the Perceived Likelihood of Contracting a Disease: The Mediating Effect of Ease of Imagery,” Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 1985.

114. See, for example, Paul J. H. Schoemaker, ”Forecasting and Scenario Planning: The Challenges of Uncertainty and Complexity,” in Derek Koehler and Nigel Harvey, eds., Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making, 2007.

116. Robert Fogel, Foreign Policy, January/February 2010.

117. David M. Levy and Sandra J. Peart, ”Soviet Growth in American Textbooks,” December 3, 2009, ssrn.com/abstract=1517983.

CHAPTER 5.

Page 119. Tom Morgenthau, Newsweek, July 2, 1979.

119. Daniel Horowitz, Jimmy Carter and the Energy Crisis of the 1970s, 2005.

119. Kevin Mattson, What the Heck Are You Up To, Mr. President? 2009; Bruce J. Schulman, The Seventies.

123. Mattson, What the Heck Are You Up To, Mr. President?

123. Schulman, The Seventies: The Great s.h.i.+ft in American Culture, Society, and Politics.

124. The Public Perspective, The Roper Center for Public Opinion Research, April/May 1997.

125. New York Times, January 4, 1981.

125. The Public Perspective.

125. Time, July 6, 1981.

125. Interview with author, Ottawa Citizen, January 18, 2004.

126. Leonard Silk, ”A World Depression?” New York Times, June 18, 1974.

126. ”The End of an Era,” New York Review of Books, June 27, 1974.

128. Schulman, The Seventies: The Great s.h.i.+ft in American Culture, Society, and Politics.

129. New York Times, April 22, 2008.

129. ”Follow-up on the News,” New York Times, October 19, 1975.

130. ”Nearing the Limits: II,” New York Times, October 4, 1973.

131. ”Rome: Can the World Organize to Save Itself?” New York Times, November 10, 1974, and ”On the State of Man,” November 4, 1974.

132. ”Population Control of Hobson's Choice” in L. R. Taylor, ed., The Optimum Population for Britain, 1969.

132. ”Four Pressing Problems Shape Global Crisis,” Salt Lake Tribune, December 8, 1974.

133. Independent Commission on International Development Issues (the Brandt Commission), North-South: A Program for Survival, 1980.

134. Ellen Langer and Judith Rodin, ”Long-term Effects of a Control-Relevant Intervention with the Inst.i.tutionalized Aged,” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 1977.

134. See, for example, Sir Michael Marmot's ”Whitehall” studies of British civil servants, which found that those who felt they had no control at work were substantially more likely to develop heart disease. Also, James Geer and Gerald Davison, ”Reductions of Stress in Humans Through Nonveridical Perceived Control of Aversive Stimulation,” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, December 1970.

135. Arnoud Arntz, Marleen van Eck, and Peter de Jong, ”Unpredictable Sudden Increases in Intensity of Pain and Acquired Fear,” Journal of Psychophysiology, 1992.

135. Quoted in John Conroy, Unspeakable Acts, Ordinary People, 2000.

136. B. Malinowski, Magic, Science, and Religion, 1954.

136. Gioria Keinan, ”Effects of Stress and Tolerance of Ambiguity on Magical Thinking,” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 1994.

136. Gioria Keinan, ”The Effects of Stress and Desire for Control on Superst.i.tious Behavior,” Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 2002.

136. Jennifer A. Whitson and Adam D. Galinsky, ”Lacking Control Increases Illusory Pattern Perception,” Science, October 3, 2008.

136. ”Sporting Rituals,” British Psychological a.s.sociation Research Digest, October 5, 2009.

136. Michaela C. Schippers and Paul A. M. Van Lange, ”The Psychological Benefits of Superst.i.tious Rituals in Top Sport: A Study Among Top Sportspersons,” Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 2006.

137. Stephen M. Sales, ”Threat as a Factor in Authoritarianism: An a.n.a.lysis of Archival Data,” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 1973.

137. Vernon R. Padgett and Dale O. Jorgenson, ”Superst.i.tion and Economic Threat,” Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 1982.

137. Stewart J. H. McCann, ”Threatening Times and Fluctuations in American Church Members.h.i.+ps,” Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 1999.

138. Schulman, The Seventies: The Great s.h.i.+ft in American Culture, Society, and Politics.

138. George Johnson, ”A Menace or Just a Crank?,” New York Times, June 18, 1989.

139. ”What You Don't Know Makes You Nervous,” New York Times, May 20, 2009.

140. Roy F. Baumeister, Ellen Bratslavsky, Catrin Finkenauer, and Kathleen D. Vohs, ”Bad Is Stronger Than Good,” Review of General Psychology, 2001.

142. ”Portrait of the 1980s,” New York Times, December 24, 1989.

CHAPTER 6.

Page 143. ”My Media: Norman Lamont,” The Guardian, October 11, 1999.